[海外]赛事分析预测:阿森纳vs水晶宫预测

海外来料 2025-10-24 22:08:40 93 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 阿森纳八强;本学期的12场比赛进球数都低于2.5
  • 东道主已经连续四次保持不失球
  • Palace的表现落后于他们的xG成绩,在该部门中差距最大

老鹰队的棘手时机

从纸面上看,这场冲突将英超联赛的两支球队联系在一起;迄今为止表现最为出色的。它’;毫不奇怪,联赛领头羊阿森纳在基本数据方面也处于领先地位,丢球最少。然而,只有枪手在预期得分上超过了水晶宫,而老鹰队在联盟中拥有最高的xG得分。

访问者的问题是,这个测试没有;它不会在理想的时间到来。宫殿队在三场比赛中没有获胜,输掉了两场比赛。星期四’;在联盟联赛中以1比0惨败给拉纳卡是一次挫折,而客队也是英超联赛的一员;在得分方面,他表现最差,净得12球,而xG为17.4。这一点’;在访问联盟之前,这不是最好的统计数据;最强的防守。

枪手追逐20年纪录

阿森纳在周中以4比0战胜马德里竞技队,延续了他们的连胜纪录;我已经确定了联赛冠军的夺冠热门。在赛季初谈论他们的防守风格阻碍了他们之后,他们;我们现在被支持以联盟历史上最好的后防线结束本赛季。

切尔西在2004/05赛季创下了失球最少的纪录,整个赛季只丢了15个球。枪手在八场联赛中只派出了三名球员,而他们;在过去的两场英超比赛中,我甚至没有一次射门命中目标。

枪手在联赛和欧洲冠军联赛中连续九场比赛将对手的体重控制在1.0×G以下,所以客队很难获得机会。

为访客提供的背对背工作

Palace上周以3比3战平了一场惊心动魄的比赛,但预计周日的比赛方式会有所改变;他访问了阿联酋。老鹰队在对阵切尔西的联赛揭幕战中表现得更加保守,在一场几乎没有明确机会的冲突中以0比0战平。

他们将前往阿森纳队,在他们的12场比赛中,有8场比赛的进球数不到3个。枪手’;四场比赛的进球数超过2.5个,往往会让他们表现得过于出色,这是他们的表现;我们不太可能对Palace采取行动。

低于2.5个进球的上诉存在分歧,而枪手需要一些魔法来创造机会。马丁·奥德加德;如果布卡约·萨卡缺席,他随时都会进球。这位边锋在周中对阵马竞的比赛中有五次射门,而他;本赛季,s在联赛的两场主场首发中都取得了进球。

预言: 低于2.5个比赛进球
阿森纳1-0
Bukayo Saka随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Eight of Arsenal’s 12 games this term have featured under 2.5 goals
  • The hosts have kept four successive clean sheets
  • Palace are underperforming their xG tally by the biggest margin in the division

Tricky timing for Eagles

On paper, this clash pits together two of the Premier League’s strongest performers so far. It’s little surprise that league leaders Arsenal also lead the way in terms of underlying numbers, conceding the fewest Expected Goals. However, only the Gunners have outperformed Crystal Palace in Expected points, while the Eagles have the highest xG tally in the league.

The problem for the visitors is that this test doesn’t exactly come at the ideal time. Palace are winless in three, losing twice. Thursday’s shock 1-0 defeat to Larnaca in the Conference League was a setback, while the visitors are also the Premier League’s biggest underperformers when it comes to scoring, netting 12 goals against an xG of 17.4. That’s not the best statistic ahead of a visit to the league’s strongest defence.

Gunners chase 20-year record

Arsenal continued their winning streak with a 4-0 victory over Atletico Madrid in midweek, while they’ve been installed as odds-on favourites for the league title. After early-season chatter about their defensive style holding them back, they’re now being backed to finish the season as the best backline in league history.

Chelsea set the record for fewest goals conceded in 2004/05, letting in only 15 goals across the campaign. The Gunners have shipped just three in eight league outings, while they’ve not even faced a shot on target in each of their last two Premier League games.

The Gunners have held their opponents under 1.0 xG in nine consecutive games across the league and Champions League, so chances will be hard to come by for the visitors.

Backs-to-the-wall job for visitors

Palace played out a thrilling 3-3 draw last week, but expect a change in approach for Sunday’s visit to the Emirates. The Eagles were much more reserved in their league opener at Chelsea, drawing 0-0 in a clash which was low on clear-cut chances.

They head to an Arsenal side who have seen eight of their 12 matches finish with fewer than three goals scored. The Gunners’ four matches to go over 2.5 goals have tended to see them overperform their xG, something they’re unlikely to do against Palace.

Under 2.5 goals appeals at odds-against, while the Gunners will need some magic to create openings. In Martin Odegaard’s absence, look to Bukayo Saka as an anytime goalscorer. The winger had five shots against Atletico in midweek, while he’s scored in both of his home starts in the league this term.

Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Arsenal 1-0
Bukayo Saka To Score Anytime

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