[海外]赛事分析预测:西汉姆联队vs布伦特福德预测

海外来料 2025-10-19 07:18:04 142 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 布伦特福德本学期迄今为止已经输掉了所有三场客场比赛
  • 蜜蜂队上赛季只输过前六名以外的球队三次
  • 西汉姆联队;本赛季的五场失利都是对阵目前排名前八的球队
  • 蜜蜂队在前七场比赛中只赢了一场xG战

对东道主来说,这是一个鼓舞人心的迹象

西汉姆在新主教练努诺的带领下,在前两场比赛中只拿到了一分,但在他在主场首次亮相之前,有理由保持乐观。

在上一场对阵阿森纳的比赛中,铁锤队以2比0被彻底击败,但在与埃弗顿的1比1战平中,他们完全配得上一分,如果不是更多的话。

虽然努诺只有几场比赛来修复一个一年多以来没有方向的俱乐部,但有一些更深入的统计数据表明,他们;你做得很好。西汉姆迫使对手从比波特时代更远的距离投篮,而他们的守门员——;s的储蓄率从前五个比赛周的43%跃升至80%以上。

努诺的善意冲突

本周,西汉姆队的情况可能会变得更好,因为他们将面对布伦特福德队,该队本赛季迄今为止输掉了所有客场比赛。游客们总是被期望在托马斯·弗兰克之后挣扎;他们的离开,但他们的客场表现暴露了他们的脆弱。

布伦特福德上赛季只输过前六名以外的球队三次。蜜蜂队已经失去了对诺丁汉森林、桑德兰和富勒姆的访问。

纵观他们的基本数据,就会发现一系列低利润的游戏。双方在布伦特福德的每场比赛中只有0.4个预期进球;他的前七场联赛。不幸的是,他们;我在其中五场比赛中输了。随着西汉姆在后场表现出改善的迹象,他们也可能战胜布伦特福德。

锤子队开局艰难

虽然几乎没有人反对格雷厄姆·波特;他被伦敦体育场开除了;值得注意的是,西汉姆联队;他的开局很艰难。他们的五场失利都是针对目前排名前八的球队。努诺带领他们以1比1战平埃弗顿队,而波特;中国队以3比0战胜排名倒数第三的诺丁汉森林队。

虽然有很多理由对西汉姆联持负面态度——;开始吧,他们;我们真的不指望能与联赛匹敌;的顶部。布伦特福德是他们本赛季迄今为止最好的主场比赛,而客队在前七场比赛中输掉了四场。

东道主也因中场缺乏节奏而受到阻碍,这在2024年8月很明显。直到今年夏末,他们才开始着手解决这个问题,但加入马特乌斯·费尔南德斯和Soungoutou Magassa应该有助于改善转型中的铁锤队。

锤子队似乎有一些早期价值,这里有很多人在等待努诺站起来跑步。然而,已经出现了改善的早期迹象。考虑到布伦特福德的倒退,东道主是最突出的赌注。

预言: 西汉姆联队获胜
西汉姆联队2:1


外文原文如下:

  • Brentford have lost all three away trips so far this term
  • The Bees only lost three times against sides outside the top six last season
  • West Ham’s five defeats this term have each come against sides currently in the top eight
  • The Bees have won the xG battle in only one of their first seven games

Encouraging signs for hosts

West Ham have only picked up one point from their first two games under new boss Nuno, but there are reasons to be optimistic ahead of his debut in the home dugout.

The Hammers were comprehensively beaten 2-0 at Arsenal in their last game, but they were fully deserving of a point, if not more, in their 1-1 draw at Everton.

While Nuno has only had a couple of games to fix a club that has been directionless for over a year, there are some deeper statistics which suggest they’re doing well. West Ham have forced opponents to take shots from much longer distances than they were under Potter, while their goalkeeper’s save percentage has jumped from 43% in the first five gameweeks to above 80%.

Kind clash for Nuno

Things could get even better for the Hammers this week, as they face a Brentford side who have lost all of their away games so far this season. The visitors were always expected to struggle after Thomas Frank’s departure, but their away form lays bare how vulnerable they look.

Brentford lost only three times against sides outside the top six last season. The Bees have already lost visits to Nottingham Forest, Sunderland, and Fulham.

A look through their underlying numbers shows a stretch of low-margin games. There have been just 0.4 Expected Goals between the sides in each of Brentford’s first seven league games. Unfortunately, they’ve lost the xG battle in five of those. With West Ham showing signs of improvement at the back, they could also get the better of Brentford.

Hammers were handed a tough start

While there was little argument against Graham Potter’s dismissal from the London Stadium, it’s worth noting that West Ham’s start was tough. Their five defeats were each against sides who currently sit inside the top eight. Nuno guided them to a 1-1 draw with a midtable Everton side, while Potter’s side won 3-0 at third-bottom Nottingham Forest.

While there were many reasons to be negative around West Ham’s start, they’re not really expected to match the league’s top sides. Brentford is their best home fixture of the season so far, while the visitors enter it having lost four of their first seven games.

The hosts were also held back by a lack of pace in midfield, something which was clear in August 2024. It was late in this summer window before they moved to address that, but adding Mateus Fernandes and Soungoutou Magassa should help to improve the Hammers in transition.

There seems to be some early value around the Hammers here are many wait for Nuno to get up and running. However, there are already early signs of improvement. Considering the step backwards that Brentford have taken, the hosts are the standout bet.

Predictions:West Ham United to Win
West Ham United 2-1

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