[海外]赛事分析预测:科尔多瓦vs文化Leonesa预测

海外来料 2025-10-12 02:53:45 69 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 文化Leonesa的防守数据在分区中是最差的,包括最高的xG对抗
  • 东道主上一次获胜,但最近六场比赛中有五场两队都进球了
  • 尽管坐在下降区,但客队在前四场客场比赛中有三场得分

防御问题应该;不要阻止科尔多瓦

文化Leonesa在西班牙二线联赛中排名倒数第三,但如果你深入了解他们的表现,他们很快就会开始看起来像联赛一样;最薄弱的一面。

客队本赛季的投篮次数排名第三,而联盟中只有一支球队的投篮次数更多。只有六支球队的失球数超过了他们,但Leonesa的预期失球数最高;我丢了12次球,而他们的X G对15.9表明他们–;幸运的是,没有进一步脱离安全。

科尔多瓦队很有可能在1比0战胜萨拉戈萨的比赛中取得另一场胜利,但东道主也有自己的问题。他们’;到目前为止,我只保持了两场不失球,两队在过去的六场比赛中都有五场得分。

主队在萨拉戈萨的那场胜利中丢了1.06×G,而他们;我们还没有保持家里的整洁。对于所有的访客来说’;问题,他们;我在四次旅行中得分六次,所以他们;在一次失败中,他重新回到了球门。

预言: 科尔多瓦和两队得分
科尔多瓦2-1


外文原文如下:

  • Cultural Leonesa have some of the worst defensive statistics in the division, including the highest xG Against
  • The hosts won last time out, but five of their last six have featured both teams scoring
  • The visitors have scored in three of their first four away trips, despite sitting in the drop zone

Defensive issues shouldn’t hold Cordoba back

Cultural Leonesa are third from bottom in the Spanish second tier, but if you dig a little deeper into their performances, they quickly begin to look like the league’s weakest side.

The visitors have conceded the third-highest number of shots this term, while only one side in the league has faced more shots on target. Only six teams have conceded more goals than them, but Leonesa have the highest Expected Goals conceded figure. The fact that they’ve conceded 12 times compared to their xG Against of 15.9 suggests they’re fortunate not to be further adrift of safety.

Cordoba are odds-on to follow up their 1-0 win over Zaragoza with another victory, but the hosts have their own issues. They’ve kept only two clean sheets so far, with both teams scoring in five of their last six games.

The home side conceded 1.06 xG in that win at Zaragoza, while they’re yet to keep a home clean sheet. For all of the visitors’ issues, they’ve scored six times across four trips, so they’re backed to find the net in a defeat.

Predictions:Cordoba and Both Teams To Score
Cordoba 2-1

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