[海外]赛事分析预测:日本vs巴拉圭预测

海外来料 2025-10-09 18:25:26 77 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Gareth Freeman@TheGFreeman独家放送:
  • 日本队在最近四场对阵巴拉圭的比赛中获胜。
  • 日本队在16场主场比赛中保持不败,赢了14场。
  • 巴拉圭在九场客场世界杯预选赛中只赢了一场。

日本和巴拉圭加紧备战世界杯

日本和巴拉圭都获得了2026年世界杯的参赛资格,两人将于周五在松下Suita体育场进行热身赛。

主场优势可能是这里的决定性因素,日本队的胜利似乎是我们主要赌注的最佳选择。

蓝武士队在预选赛中没有输掉一场主场比赛,他们在整个过程中唯一的失败发生在澳大利亚,当时他们已经以小组获胜者的身份在锦标赛中获得了席位。

无论比赛如何,森谷浩一的球队在日本土地上往往都很强大,因为他们在过去的16场主场比赛中取得了14场胜利和两场平局,而巴拉圭的客场战绩喜忧参半。南美人在九次客场资格赛中只取得了一场胜利,尽管他们在其中五场比赛中取得了平局。

日本队最近在对阵瓜拉尼人的比赛中表现强劲,因为他们在过去的四场比赛中都取得了胜利,在前七场面对面的比赛中只取得了一场胜利,尽管双方的最后一场比赛是在2022年举行的。

日本队在纸面上看起来更强大,凭借主场优势,他们可以证明自己的偏袒是合理的。巴拉圭在过去六场比赛中有三场没有进球,日本在过去四场比赛中三场零封,包括9月份在美国0-0战平墨西哥,因此东道主可以不失球获胜。

然而,巴拉圭的防守相当稳固,日本队以1比0获胜是正确的得分选择。费耶诺德前锋上田绫濑本赛季开局不错,在荷甲比赛中打入8球,他看起来是最有可能的得分手,迄今为止在日本队的32场比赛中打入14球。

预言: 日本赢
日本1-0
上田绫濑随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Japan have won their last four games against Paraguay.
  • Japan are unbeaten in 16 home games, winning 14.
  • Paraguay won just one of their nine away World Cup qualifiers.

Japan and Paraguay step up World Cup prep

Japan and Paraguay have both secured their spots at World Cup 2026 and the two meet in a warm-up fixture at the Panasonic Stadium Suita on Friday.

Home advantage could be the deciding factor here and a Japan victory looks the best option for our main bet.

The Blue Samurai came through qualifying without losing a home game and their only defeat in the entire process came in Australia, when they had already booked their spot in the tournament proper as group winners.

Hajime Moriyasu’s side tend to be strong on Japanese soil irrespective of the competition as they have 14 wins and two draws in their last 16 home games, while Paraguay have a mixed road record. The South Americans managed just one win in qualifying away from home in nine attempts, although they did draw five of those games.

Japan have a strong recent record against Los Guaraníes as they have won each of the last four meetings, having managed just one victory in the first seven head-to-head games, although the last meeting between these sides came in 2022.

Japan have what looks a stronger squad on paper and with home advantage they can justify their favouritism. Paraguay have failed to score in three of their last six trips and Japan have three clean sheets in their last four games, including a 0-0 draw against Mexico in the USA in September, so the hosts can win without conceding.

Paraguay’s defence is fairly solid, however, and a 1-0 win for Japan is the correct score pick. Feyenoord forward Ayase Ueda has made a strong start to the season with eight goals in as many Eredivisie games and he looks the most likely scorer, having hit 14 goals in 32 games so far for Japan.

Predictions:Japan to Win
Japan 1-0
Ayase Ueda To Score Anytime

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