[海外]赛事分析预测:镜头与兰斯预测

海外来料 2025-04-11 11:12:30 40 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家LeeSharp独家放送:
  • 71%的Lens比赛以低于2.5个进球结束
  • 兰斯在最近四场客场比赛中都没有进球
  • 反向夹具以2比0的比分完成镜头

低目标,高张力:Reims面部镜片测试

法甲联赛即将结束,只剩下六个比赛日,对于正在为生存而战的兰斯来说,这将是紧张的几周。目前排名第16位,处于降级区,他们只落后勒阿弗尔和昂热一分,他们希望在这里取得一个成绩,给对手施加压力。

反过来,朗斯以2比0获胜。然而,双方并没有太大的区别,兰斯实际上已经控制住了球权,投篮次数也稍微多了一些。朗斯确实在预期的进球数上略微领先-1.02至0.81,这反映了他们的机会质量略好,最终被证明是决定性的。

这是兰斯本赛季反复出现的问题,尤其是在客场,他们在过去的四场比赛中都没有得分。对于最近几周防守稳健的蓝斯队来说,这并不是一个好兆头,他们在过去的五场比赛中保持了三场零失球。

朗斯在法甲联赛中以2.5球以下的成绩排名第一,他们71%的比赛都在2.5球以下。兰斯更像是一个50%的混合包,尽管这仍然使他们在联盟中并列第四。

所有迹象都表明,这是一场谨慎、低得分的比赛。一分就足以让兰斯脱离降级区——至少是暂时的——所以他们可能会满足于在这里0-0战平。

预言: 低于2.5个比赛进球
平局0-0


外文原文如下:

  • 71% of Lens matches have ended with under 2.5 goals
  • Reims have failed to score in their last four away matches
  • Reverse fixture finished 2-0 to the way of Lens

Low on Goals, High on Tension: Reims Face Lens Test

Ligue 1 is reaching its conclusion, with just six matchdays to go, and it’s set to be a tense few weeks for Reims, who are fighting for survival. Currently sitting 16th and in the relegation zone, they’re just one point behind Le Havre and Angers, and will be hoping to pick up a result here to put pressure on their rivals.

The reverse fixture went the way of Lens, who won 2-0. However, there wasn’t much to separate the sides, with Reims actually edging possession and having slightly more shots. Lens did lead marginally on expected goals—1.02 to 0.81—which reflects their slightly better quality of chances, ultimately proving decisive.

That has been a recurring problem for Reims this season, particularly away from home, where they’ve failed to score in their last four games. That doesn’t bode well against a Lens side who have been defensively solid in recent weeks, keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches.

Lens rank top in Ligue 1 for matches finishing under 2.5 goals, with 71% of their games going under that line. Reims are more of a mixed bag at 50%, though that still places them joint-fourth in the league by that measure.

All signs point towards this being a cagey, low-scoring affair. A point would be enough to lift Reims out of the relegation zone—at least temporarily—so they’d likely be content with grinding out a 0-0 draw here.

Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Draw 0-0

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