The injury situation of Leeds is better than for ages, and at the visiting Brentford side it is about the contrary, and as Leeds in general have been strong at home this is an easy and natural choice at these odds.
Last 4 home games are 2-2-0 for Leeds, the draws are against strong Wolves and Leicester, but the best news is that their best striker Patrick Bamford returns today after a longish absence, also Ayling is about to return so only Koch is a confirmed missing!
The visiting Brentford side has it a a lot worse. They have been refreshingly good for being a promoted small budget side, but the results have weakened along with the injuries, they are 1-1-5 in their last 7, the sole win coming at home. Especially the away form has recently horrible. They were totally outplayed in the hands of Tottenham, but also they conceded 3 goals both at Newcastle and Burnley!
The injury list has key players from all positions. Keeper Raya, defenders Ajer and Jörgensen, midfielder Dasilva.
I see Leeds improving, Brentford getting weaker, and to start with Leeds are the better team of these two, and their winning probability is somewhere at 50%. No more as Brentford still are a well-coached, hardworking decent side.
