Juventus challenge Real Madrid in this UEFA Champions League league stage round 3 battle at Deutsche Bank Park very early Thursday morning Beijing time. Challenge is all I believe Juve are capable of here.. This is the best of UEFA's three international club competitions. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a clash of higher than average quality level by this league's standards here! Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won an impressive eight of the last nine picks on betting on this iconic competition. The hosts are, of course, a Spanish team, the visitors come from Italy. Firstly, I want to mention that the Spanish LaLiga is, as a whole, better than the Italian Serie A - albeit not by a wide margin. Real, under Xabi Alonso, are in impressive form. In my expert opinion, Alonso is a top-5 manager on the planet. He is great in terms of tactical skills - but is also a true leader! Real have won 11 of their last 12 matches - many by a margin of several goals. They top the LaLiga standings with eight wins and nine matches. Real have taken 24 points, two more than Barcelona. Their score difference is fine - 20:9 to be precise. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 22.43.
Juventus are having yet another disappointing season! Indeed, they are only in 7th place, with 12 points in their pocket. They have scored only nine goals and gave conceded seven goals in seven Serie A games. Their number of xG is 8.33 and the number of expected goals against (xGA) is 9.01. Juve's number of expected points (xPTS) is just 9.34! I stress that Juve have not won any of their last six games. In their most recent match they travelled to Como, losing 0-2 after a lame performance. Juve were the favourites on the betting market but Como recorded more shots on goal (6-3) and one more big scoring chance. They also generated 0.75 more in xG - deserving the three points. In the Champions League opening round Juve welcomed Dortmund - and were clear favourites according to the bookies. It was, however, an entertaining and pretty balanced clash. 4-4 was the final score - total xG in this game was 4.89. In round 2 Juve faced Villarreal in Spain - it was a 2-2 draw. The xG numbers were 2.21-1.99. In round 1 of this competition Real beat Marseille 2-1 at home, recording close to 30 total shots. The xG numbers were 4.31-0.78! In round 2 Real "toyed" with Kairat Almaty in Kazakhstan, winning 5-0 - as big favourites, of course. They did not have to use nearly 100% of their skill/energy but still generated 3.43 more in xG than the Kazakhs! Anything other than a home win would really surprise me here!
