Let us talk briefly about the two big favourites in EPL on Saturday as they are less likely to suffer from the international match breaks. These two also top the underlying stats of expected points, but of course, the sample size is small.
FULHAM – ARSENAL 2
Fulham most recently fell to a 1–3 defeat away at Bournemouth. Marco Silva successfully employed the less commonly seen three-center-back formation in that match. The same defense-focused setup will likely be necessary on Saturday, as several key players are sidelined. Arsenal climbed to the top of the table with a 2–0 home win over West Ham, a result that reflected the flow of the game. Losing Martin Ødegaard back to the injury list is a setback, but the squad depth is better equipped to handle injuries than in previous seasons. The home team’s compact defensive block is not easy to break down, but Arsenal’s individual quality is expected to decide the match.
MANCHESTER C – EVERTON
Manchester City’s play has developed in a more balanced direction after the early-season points dropped in easier matches, although concerns over injuries to key players like Rodri still cause headaches. Everton ended Crystal Palace’s impressive unbeaten run before the break, but their 2–1 home win also required some favorable luck. Jack Grealish, who has raised the quality of Moyes’ team in possession, is suspended for this match against his parent club. The clear difference in baseline quality and home advantage justifies Manchester City being the big favorite.
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让我们简单谈谈周六英超的两大热门，因为他们不太可能受到国际比赛间隙的影响。这两个指标也高于期望值的基本统计数据，但当然，样本量很小。
富勒姆-阿森纳2
富勒姆最近客场1-3不敌伯恩茅斯。在那场比赛中，马尔科·席尔瓦成功地采用了不太常见的三中卫阵型。由于几名关键球员缺阵，同样以防守为中心的安排在周六可能是必要的。阿森纳主场2-0战胜西汉姆联，跃居积分榜榜首，这一结果反映了比赛的流畅性。失去马丁Ødegaard回到伤病名单是一个挫折，但球队的深度比前几个赛季更好地应对伤病。主队紧凑的防守并不容易被打破，但阿森纳的个人能力将决定比赛。
曼彻斯特-埃弗顿
尽管像罗德里这样的关键球员受伤的问题仍然令人头疼，但在赛季初一些轻松的比赛中得分下降之后，曼城的打法已经朝着更加平衡的方向发展。埃弗顿在中场休息前结束了水晶宫令人印象深刻的不败纪录，但他们主场2-1获胜也需要一些好运气。杰克·格里利什提高了莫耶斯球队的控球水平，在与母队的比赛中被禁赛。基线质量和主场优势的明显差异证明曼城是最大的热门。
