Only seven goals have been scored across Alaves’ previous seven games, with under 1.5 landing on six occasions
The visitors have won 1-0 in three of those seven matches
The hosts have lost 16 of their last 17 matches, while they’ve scored 0.6 goals per game at home
Alaves can secure safety
Alaves can secure another season in La Liga with a victory on Sunday when they visit a Valladolid side who have been beaten in 16 of their previous 17 matches. The bottom club have lost 28 of their 36 matches this term, so it’s easy to see why the visitors are heavily odds-on for the points.
Valladolid have scored just 11 times in their 18 home matches this season, so this is unlikely to be a high-scoring contest. The visitors have been grinding out results of late, with under 1.5 goals landing in six of their previous seven. Only seven goals have been scored in total across those seven games, with the visitors securing three 1-0 wins in that spell.
Alaves should be able to grind out a narrow victory over the low-scoring hosts, who have seen under 3.5 goals land in 78% of their home matches this season. The visitors added motivation should help them to the win, but we can boost their price to above evens by backing Alaves to win and under 3.5 goals to be scored in the contest.
Predictions:Alaves to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals Alaves 1-0