2025-05-01【欧冠】巴萨VS国际米兰预测_分析

易红单 2025-04-30 15:49:33 69 上一篇下一篇

I love the way Barcelona and the results follow, but at this stage, there are no easy opponents left, and the odds on Barcelona are too short. You saw what almost happened v Real Madrid after a very convincing first-half dominance? My thoughts:

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Barcelona enter this high-stakes semifinal fresh off a morale-boosting 3–2 extra-time victory over Real Madrid in the Spanish Cup final, securing their second trophy of the season. However, they may once again be without key players: striker Robert Lewandowski and left-back Alejandro Balde are both doubtful due to thigh injuries. In Lewandowski’s absence, Ferran Torres typically a winger, has filled in at centre-forward. While he brings more pace, he lacks the physical presence and goal-scoring consistency of the Polish star.

Expected XI (4-3-3): Ter Stegen; Koundé, Araujo, Christensen, Cancelo; Gündoğan, De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Ferran Torres, Raphinha

Inter Milan, meanwhile, are trying to rebound from a disappointing week, having lost to AC Milan in the Coppa Italia semifinal and Roma in Serie A. Despite controlling possession in Rome, Inter failed to convert their dominance into goals. The likely return of Marcus Thuram up front is a major boost, though Benjamin Pavard remains out. Inter will lean on their defensive solidity and counter-attacking structure.

- Expected XI (3-5-2): Sommer; Darmian, de Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Lautaro

Barcelona will look to assert their dominance with an aggressive press and dynamic ball control, but Inter's compact 3–5–2 system and tactical discipline make them a tough nut to crack. The Italians have conceded only five goals in 12 Champions League games this season, including a gritty 4–3 aggregate win over Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals.

Barcelona has the edge at home, but Inter’s resilience and counter-attacking threat make this a close one. Expect a cagey, physical battle. 1-1? 2-2? I would rather choose the draw than X2, I feel Inter are not pushing it if they stay close all game, and no way Barcelona are this big favourites, more likely 50% or so.

Good luck!




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我喜欢巴萨的方式和随之而来的结果,但在这个阶段,没有容易的对手,巴萨的*太短了。你看到了在对阵皇马的比赛中,他们在上半场取得了令人信服的优势之后几乎发生了什么?我的想法:

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巴塞罗那在西班牙杯决赛中以加时赛3-2战胜皇家马德里,赢得了本赛季的第二座奖杯,进入了这场高风险的半决赛。然而,他们可能会再次失去关键球员:前锋罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基和左后卫亚历桑德罗·巴尔德都因为大腿受伤而无法上场。在莱万多夫斯基缺阵期间,典型的边锋托雷斯填补了中锋的位置。虽然他带来了更多的速度,但他缺乏波兰球星的身体素质和进球稳定性。

预计阵容(4-3-3):特尔斯特根;昆德尔、阿劳霍、克里斯滕森、坎塞洛;Gündoğan, De Jong, Pedri;Yamal, Ferran Torres, Raphinha

与此同时,国际米兰正在努力从令人失望的一周中恢复过来,他们在意大利杯半决赛中输给了AC米兰,在意甲联赛中输给了罗马。尽管在罗马控制了控球权,但国际米兰未能将优势转化为进球。马库斯·图拉姆的回归对锋线来说是一个很大的推动,尽管本杰明·帕瓦德仍然缺席。国米将依靠他们稳固的防守和反击结构。

-预期十一(3-5-2):萨默;达米安,德弗瑞,巴斯托尼;邓弗里斯、巴雷拉、卡尔汉奥卢、姆希塔良、迪马科;图拉姆,劳塔罗

巴塞罗那希望通过积极的压迫和动态的控球来维护他们的统治地位,但是国米紧凑的3-5-2体系和战术纪律使他们很难对付。意大利人本赛季在12场欧冠比赛中只丢了5球,其中包括在四分之一决赛中以总比分4-3战胜拜仁慕尼黑的比赛。

巴塞罗那在主场有优势,但国米的韧性和反击威胁使这场比赛变得很接近。期待一场谨慎的身体对抗。1 - 1 ?2 - 2 ?我宁愿选择平局,而不是X2,我觉得国米如果整场比赛都保持接近,就不会有夺冠的希望,巴萨也不可能是这么大的热门,更有可能是50%左右。

好运!


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