- 曼城以3比2输掉了第一回合比赛，在过去的六场客场比赛中，他们有五场进了两个或更多的球
- 曼城在最近九场客场欧冠比赛中的七场比赛中至少进了两个球
- 皇家马德里在过去的八场伦敦大学学院主场比赛中没有保持不失球，两次或四次以上出货
- Kylian Mbappe在皇家马德里的最后10场比赛中打入11球
冈萨雷斯似乎解决了城市问题；罗德里问题
曼城周三将前往伯纳乌球场，因为他们知道只有一场胜利才能让他们留在欧冠联赛中，因为他们试图扭转首回合以3比2落后于卫冕冠军皇家马德里的局面；对于两家俱乐部来说，安切洛蒂在曼彻斯特的比赛都是一场过山车，在瓜迪奥拉之前，安切洛蒂最初看起来像是在控制一支不平衡的曼城队；他的游戏计划开始成形。
然而，比赛的最后五分钟被证明是决定性的，因为曼城的两个疯狂防守时刻让他们在马德里有一座迷你山需要攀登。瓜迪奥拉；由于第一回合有三名先发球员受伤，他的战术选择减少了：杰克·格雷利什、曼努埃尔·阿坎吉和内森·阿克。
但他似乎终于解决了本赛季球队面临的最大问题——替换受伤的Ballon d；或者是胜利者罗德里——新签约的尼科·冈萨雷斯在周六对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中担任中场枢纽角色，给人留下了深刻的印象。假设西班牙人保留了他在球队中的位置。在这种情况下，约翰·斯通可能会与鲁本·迪亚斯搭档，迪亚斯的身体状况不足以在对阵喜鹊的比赛中首发，担任中后卫，里科·刘易斯担任右后卫，菲尔·福登在第一回合的唯一其他变化中取代格雷利什。
洛杉矶白衣军团以前也在这种情况下屈服过
当曼城以4比0击败纽卡斯尔队，为他们在马德里的使命热身时，皇家马德里队上周末在西甲联赛中被奥萨苏纳队以1比1战平。如果他们抓住机会，Los Blancos本可以在前30分钟赢得比赛，但只有Kylian Mbappe；他们的罢工表明了他们早期的统治地位。裘德·贝林厄姆因在半场结束前对裁判讲话失误而被罚下场，当安特·布德米尔在下半场当场扳平比分时，他们不得不付出代价。
安切洛蒂’；中国队在过去的五场比赛中有三场未能获胜，尽管他们在曼彻斯特的恢复工作令人印象深刻，但在一场平局将使他们取得进步的比赛中，看起来不值得以高昂的价格站在一边。
在主场的最后五回合比赛中，安切洛蒂在异国他乡取得了胜利；中国队赢了两场，平了一场，输了两场。他们在过去的八场欧冠比赛中也输掉了三场，其中包括几个月前在伯纳乌球场以3比1逆转AC米兰的比赛。
目标市场的价值在于游客
然而，曼城已经输掉了他们最后三场欧冠客场比赛，可能需要一些超人的东西来战胜拒绝在这场比赛中被击败的皇家马德里队。
进球市场倾向于得分很高，有很好的理由让埃尔林·哈兰德和姆巴佩等球员在场上。这位法国人自去年夏天以来只参加了113分钟的国际足球比赛；在欧洲总决赛中，他看起来比目前大多数人都更新鲜，他在过去10次俱乐部出场中打入11球的记录表明，他作为这里的任何时候的射手都值得支持。
但真正的价值可能在于支持曼城打进两个或更多进球。瓜迪奥拉’；美国队必须全力以赴，因为平局是不好的，他们在欧洲的客场有多个进球的状态。在过去九场客场欧冠比赛中，他们在七场比赛中至少进了两个球，而皇家马德里在伯纳乌的最后八场欧洲比赛中没有保持不失球，两次或四次以上。
预言：
曼城队进球数超过1.5个
平局2-2
Kylian Mbappe随时得分
外文原文如下：
- Manchester City, who lost the first leg 3-2, have scored two or more goals in five of their last six away games
- City have scored at least two goals in seven of their last nine away Champions League matches
- Real Madrid have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight UCL games at home, shipping two or more four times
- Kylian Mbappe has scored 11 goals in his last 10 appearances for Real Madrid
Gonzalez seems to solve City’s Rodri problem
Manchester City head to Estadio Bernabeu on Wednesday knowing that only a win will keep them in the Champions League as they seek to overturn a 3-2 first-leg deficit against holders Real Madrid. Last week’s game in Manchester was a rollercoaster for both clubs with Carlo Ancelotti initially looking like he had the upper hand over an unbalanced City side before Pep Guardiola’s gameplan began to take shape.
The final five minutes of the game proved decisive, however, as two moments of defensive madness from City left them with a mini mountain to climb in Madrid. Guardiola’s tactical options have been reduced by injuries to three starters from the first leg: Jack Grealish, Manuel Akanji and Nathan Ake.
But he finally appears to have solved the biggest issue his side have faced this season — replacing injured Ballon d’Or winner Rodri — with new signing Nico Gonzalez impressing in the midfield pivot role against Newcastle on Saturday. Suppose the Spaniard retains his place in the side. In that case, John Stones will probably partner Ruben Dias, who was not fit enough to start against the Magpies, in central defence with Rico Lewis slotting in at right-back and Phil Foden replacing Grealish in the only other changes from the first leg.
Los Blancos have buckled in this situation before
While City warmed up for their mission in Madrid by spanking a good Newcastle side 4-0, Real Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw by Osasuna in La Liga last weekend. Los Blancos could have won the match in the first 30 minutes if they had taken their chances but only had Kylian Mbappe’s strike to show for their early dominance. Jude Bellingham was sent off for speaking out of turn to the referee before half-time and they were made to pay when Ante Budemir levelled from the spot in the second half.
Ancelotti’s side have failed to win three of their last five games and, despite their impressive recovery job in Manchester, do not look worth siding with at an odds-on price in a match where a draw will see them progress.
In their last five return legs at home where they have achieved victory on foreign soil, Ancelotti’s team have won two, drawn one and lost two. They have also lost three of their last eight Champions League games, including a 3-1 reverse to AC Milan at the Bernabeu in the League stage a few months ago.
Value in goal markets is with the visitors
However, Manchester City have lost their last three Champions League away games and may require something superhuman to outlast a Real Madrid side who refuse to be beaten in this competition.
The goal markets are skewed towards this being very high-scoring and for good reason with the likes of Erling Haaland and Mbappe on the pitch. The Frenchman, who has played just 113 minutes of international football since last summer’s Euro Finals, looks fresher than most at the moment and his record of 11 goals in his last 10 club appearances suggests he is worth backing as an anytime goalscorer here.
But the real value could be in backing City to score two or more goals. Guardiola’s side have to go for it because a draw is no good and they have form for bagging multiple goals on the road in Europe. They have scored at least two goals in seven of their last nine away Champions League matches while Real Madrid have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight European games at the Bernabeu, shipping two or more four times.
Predictions:Manchester City Over 1.5 Team Goals
Draw 2-2
Kylian Mbappe To Score Anytime
