[海外]赛事分析预测:赫罗纳vs加的斯预测

海外来料 2024-04-18 00:05:32 59 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Simon Barlow独家放送:
  • 在赫罗纳的三场比赛中,只有不到三个进球;最近五场联赛
  • 在加的斯的11场比赛中,只有不到3个进球;最近12场西甲联赛
  • 在过去的六次面对面会议中,有五次的进球不到三个

加的斯可能是一支很难观看的球队

赫罗纳应该能够在周六战胜面临降级威胁的加的斯,继续他们的冠军联赛挑战,尽管比赛中可能没有太多进球。

安达卢西亚人将带着本赛季西甲联赛中进球数最少、超过2.5球的记录来到蒙蒂利维市Estadi Municipal de Montilivi;31场比赛中只有7场。

在客场,这一比例降至13%,欧洲没有其他球队’;中国前五大联赛中至少有三个进球的客场比赛低于20%。

米歇尔’;s队可以满足于2-0的巡航

毛里西奥·佩莱格里诺上周末试图通过在比赛初期的大力施压来震惊巴塞罗那,直到若昂·费利克斯在半场结束前踢进一个自行车球。一支变化很大的巴萨最终以1-0获胜,这场比赛可能会产生类似的结果,尽管赫罗纳;s很有可能实现目标。

米歇尔’;在过去的八场联赛中,有七场在蒙蒂利维取得了多个进球,但在面对毕尔巴鄂竞技队和皇家社会队等较为沉闷、纪律严明的球队时,他们表现不佳。

东道主应该会赢,但考虑到加的斯队所卷入的低得分比赛的比例,在2.5球以下的比赛中,胜算可能更大。

预言: 2.5以下比赛目标
赫罗纳2-0


外文原文如下:

  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Girona’s last five league matches
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in 11 of Cadiz’s last 12 La Liga contests
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in five of the last six head-to-head meetings

Cadiz can be a hard team to watch

Girona should be able to keep their Champions League challenge on the rails with a victory against relegation-threatened Cadiz on Saturday, although there might not be many goals in the clash.

The Andalusians will arrive at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi with a record of having featured in the fewest games with over 2.5 goals in La Liga this term – just seven of their 31 matches.

Away from home that ratio drops to 13% and no other team in Europe’s top five leagues is below 20% for road games featuring at least three goals.

Michel’s men can settle for 2-0 cruise

Mauricio Pellegrino tried to shock Barcelona last weekend by pressing hard in the early stages and it worked until Joao Felix scored a bicycle kick just before half-time. A much-changed Barca side ran out 1-0 winners in the end and this fixture may produce a similar outcome, despite Girona’s high potential for goals.

Michel’s men have scored multiple goals in seven of their last eight league games at the Montilivi, but struggled when up against some of the more dour, disciplined sides such as Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad.

The hosts should win, but given the ratio of low-scoring games Cadiz have been embroiled in, it may be better to take the greater odds on under 2.5 goals.

Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Girona 2-0

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