- 波兰队在过去六场主场比赛中赢了四场，要么是1-0，要么是2-0
- 爱沙尼亚在过去五场国际比赛中有四场丢了两球
- 爱沙尼亚在最近六场国际比赛（非友谊赛）中都没有进球
波兰可以取代爱沙尼亚
波兰队将于周四在华沙迎战爱沙尼亚队，轻松晋级排名最低的2024年欧洲杯附加赛半决赛。
Michal Proberz’；由于客场对阵其他竞争者的成绩，中国队在E组排名第三，落后于阿尔巴尼亚队和捷克队。他们在主场更可靠，对于一支爱沙尼亚队来说应该有太多的实力，他们很幸运从欧足联国家联赛D中获得了进入附加赛的唯一途径。
Thomas Haberli’；蓝衫军队在轻松战平对手后赢得了四场国家联赛的全部胜利，但他们在2024年欧洲杯小组赛中被淘汰。
蓝衬衫的后部收紧了
爱沙尼亚在F组垫底，在与比利时、奥地利、瑞典和阿塞拜疆的八场比赛中仅得一分，净胜球为-20。只有直布罗陀和列支敦士登在预选赛中的进球数比他们少，只有上述球队加上塞浦路斯和圣马力诺的失球数更多。
波兰队的打法比瑞典队更有耐心，瑞典队在塔林以5-0击败爱沙尼亚队，在主场以2-0击败爱沙尼亚，但即使罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基在最高水平上仍略高于维克托·乔克雷斯，球队也有相当的实力。
波兰队应该能够在剩下的一点时间里取得胜利，但主队的比分可能不会超过2-0。爱沙尼亚队在2023年底确实加强了防守，阻止了阿塞拜疆、奥地利和瑞典队在对阵他们的比赛中得分超过两球，而波兰队自两年半前4-1战胜安道尔队以来，还没有在一场比赛中进过三球。
- Poland have won four of their last six home games either 1-0 or 2-0
- Estonia have conceded exactly two goals in four of their last five internationals
- Estonia have failed to score in their last six competitive (non-friendly) internationals
Poland can put Estonia in their place
Poland should make light work of the lowest-ranked Euro 2024 play-off semi-finalists when they entertain Estonia in Warsaw on Thursday.
Michal Probierz’s men finished third in Group E behind Albania and Czechia because of their away results against the other contenders. They were more dependable at home and should have too much quality for an Estonia team who are fortunate to have clinched the sole path to the play-offs from UEFA Nations League D.
Thomas Haberli’s Blueshirts won all four of their Nations League games after benefitting from an easier draw, but they were found out in their Euro 2024 group.
Blueshirts have tightened up at the back
Estonia came bottom of Group F and finished with only one point and a -20 goal difference from eight matches against Belgium, Austria, Sweden and Azerbaijan. Only Gibraltar and Liechtenstein scored fewer goals than them in qualifying and only the aforementioned teams plus Cyprus and San Marino conceded more.
Poland play a more patient style than Sweden, who beat Estonia 5-0 in Tallinn and 2-0 at home, but there is comparable quality in the squads even if Robert Lewandowski is still a cut above Viktor Gyokeres at the highest level.
The Poles should be able to clinch victory with a bit to spare, but the scoreline might not go beyond 2-0 for the home side. Estonia did tighten up towards the end of 2023, preventing Azerbaijan, Austria and Sweden from scoring more than two against them while Poland have not scored three in a game since a 4-1 win in Andorra two and a half years ago.
