- 阿森纳在过去的九场英超比赛中，有八场进了不到三个球
- 布伦特福德在过去的八场联赛中只丢了不到三个球
- 布伦特福德在六场英超客场比赛中输掉了五场
阿森纳需要注意差距
阿森纳近年来发现很难击败布伦特福德，没有理由怀疑蜜蜂队将在周三对英超联赛的领头羊开放。上周末，枪手在斯坦福桥与切尔西1比1战平，他们与第二名的差距缩小了。
在本赛季的背景下，他们的两名首选中后卫都缺席了，这可能是一个不错的结果。但是，在莫伊塞斯·卡塞多被红牌罚下后，切尔西从第38分钟开始就减少到10人，米克尔·阿尔特塔可能会认为这是一个错失的良机。
曼城有机会在周二对阵克雷文小屋的比赛中将阿森纳的优势缩小到两分，所以这场比赛可能会有一些额外的压力。
Gyokeres很难增强枪手的实力；目标潜力
阿尔特塔肯定会和他现有的最强球队一起去，这真的应该包括俱乐部在夏天以6400万英镑签约的维克托·久克雷斯。然而，这位瑞典前锋一直没有完全康复，只在斯坦福桥客串了20分钟。
米克尔·梅里诺最近在禁区内看起来更具威胁性，在周日对阵拜仁慕尼黑的比赛中，他的预期进球数为0.55，0.65。随着下周末对阵状态良好的阿斯顿维拉的一场重要比赛的到来，如果梅里诺在对阵蜜蜂队的比赛中被安排作为冲击替补来保持新鲜感，这并不奇怪。
Gyokeres在枪手的最后八场联赛中已经进了两球，考虑到他在禁区外为球队所做的工作和阿森纳的胜利状态，这很好。但Arteta的球队在Gyokeres参加的最后几场比赛中只进了9个球，他们可能很难在对阵蓬勃发展的布伦特福德队的比赛中获得超过两个进球。
决定激烈竞争的细节
自10月国际比赛日回归以来，蜜蜂队以4胜2负的成绩在6场比赛中排名第六。他们有着坚实的脊梁和战术纪律，仍然是最好的定位球球队之一，所以他们与阿森纳的比赛非常好。
他们还有一名状态不错的前锋伊戈尔·蒂亚戈，一切似乎都在为他倾心并前进；甚至他的失误。在这种情况下，支持阿森纳以0比0或2比0的比分获胜似乎是有风险的，枪手在这里的任何胜利都可能取决于细节。
最近的历史和趋势表明，东道主不会压倒对手，阿森纳在过去九次面对面的比赛中只有两次得分超过两球，在最近九次顶级联赛的比赛中只有一次得分。支持阿森纳以2比1获胜，因为布伦特福德本赛季六次联赛中仍有五次失利，所以可能没有信心否认东道主的全部三分。
- Arsenal have scored fewer than three goals in eight of their last nine Premier League games
- Brentford have conceded fewer than three goals in their last eight league games
- Brentford have lost five of six Premier League away games
Arsenal need to mind the gap
Arsenal have found it tough to break down Brentford in recent years and there is no reason to suspect the Bees will open up for the Premier League leaders on Wednesday. The Gunners saw their gap to second place cut over the weekend when they were held to a 1-1 draw by Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
In the context of the season and with both of their first-choice central defenders out, it is probably a good result. But with Chelsea down to 10 men from the 38th minute following Moises Caicedo’s red card, Mikel Arteta may see it as a great opportunity missed.
Manchester City have the chance to cut Arsenal’s advantage to just two points when they play at Craven Cottage on Tuesday, so there could be some added pressure on this fixture.
Gyokeres is hardly enhancing Gunners’ goal potential
Arteta will surely go with the strongest team he has available and that really should include the club’s £64million summer signing Viktor Gyokeres. However, the Swedish striker has been short of full fitness and only got on for a 20-minute cameo at Stamford Bridge.
Mikel Merino has looked more threatening inside the box of late, registering an expected goals (xG) tally of 0.55 against Bayern Munich and 0.65 on Sunday. With a huge game against an in-form Aston Villa coming up next weekend, it would be no surprise if Merino was deployed as an impact substitute against the Bees to keep him fresh.
Gyokeres has scored twice in his last eight league games for the Gunners, which is fine when you consider the work he does for the team outside the box and Arsenal’s winning form. But Arteta’s team have managed to score a total of only nine goals in the last matches Gyokeres has featured in and they may struggle to net more than a couple against a blossoming Brentford side.
Details to determine tight contest
The Bees are sixth in the six-game form table with four wins and two defeats since returning from the October international break. They have a solid spine, tactical discipline and remain one of the better set-piece teams around, so they match up to Arsenal very well.
They also have an in-form striker in Igor Thiago, for whom everything seems to be falling for and going in – even his mishits. Supporting Arsenal to win to nil or cover a -2 handicap look like risky plays in the circumstances and any Gunners victory here is probably going to be down to fine details.
Recent history and trends suggest the hosts will not overwhelm their opponents with Arsenal having scored more than twice in only two of the last nine head-to-head meetings and just once in their last nine top-flight clashes. Back a 2-1 Arsenal win because Brentford have still lost five of their six league trips this term, so may lack the belief to deny the hosts all three points.
