- AC米兰在联赛和杯赛的最后四场比赛中，有三场的进球数低于2.5个。
- AC米兰在最近两场意甲比赛（对阵莱切和博洛尼亚）中均以0比0获胜。
- 乌迪内斯在与AC米兰的最后三场比赛中都输了。
坚如磐石的米兰将在蓝能球场保持紧张
在新一轮意甲联赛的首周末，AC米兰在主场以2比1逆转克雷莫内斯的比赛中一瘸一拐，令人震惊，尽管红黑军团自那以后一直保持着典型的马克斯·阿莱格里球队的所有特征。
背靠背战胜莱切（2-0）和博洛尼亚（1-0），国际比赛间隙的任何一方，都伴随着不失球，阿莱格里在米兰著名的后三防守体系开始成形。
米兰在8月下旬限制莱切只能射门两次，而博洛尼亚在周日以1比0输给阿莱格里的比赛中未能准确射门。这是自2021年以来博洛尼亚首次在对阵米兰的比赛中未能进球。
随着阿莱格里开始在他的形象中塑造这支球队，我们预计米兰将在周六再次专注于防守，因此2.5球以下的市场具有很大的吸引力。
到目前为止，未被击败的乌迪内斯在三场意甲比赛中只丢过两次球，并且同样厌恶风险，因此在蓝能球场的利润可能很小。
然而，乌迪内斯的完美记录可能会在周六受到威胁。他们在与米兰的最后三场比赛中都输了，上赛季两支俱乐部的比赛都没有进球。随着米兰上周末1比0战胜博洛尼亚的比赛提供了蓝图，防守强大的客队可以在乌迪内斯以类似的比分获胜。
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of AC Milan’s last four matches in league and cup.
- AC Milan have won to nil in each of their last two Serie A fixtures (vs Lecce and Bologna).
- Udinese have lost each of their last three meetings with AC Milan.
Rock-solid Milan to keep things tight at the Bluenergy Stadium
AC Milan limped to a shock 2-1 reverse at home to Cremonese on the opening weekend of the new Serie A campaign, though the Rossoneri have played with all the hallmarks of a typical Max Allegri team since.
Back-to-back wins over Lecce (2-0) and Bologna (1-0), either side of the international break, were both accompanied by clean sheets, with Allegri’s famed back-three defensive system at Milan beginning to take shape.
Milan restricted Lecce to just two shots on target in late August, while Bologna failed to land a single accurate effort on goal in their 1-0 loss to Allegri’s side on Sunday. That was the first time Bologna failed to score in a fixture against Milan since 2021.
With Allegri starting to carve this side in his image, we expect a defensive focus from Milan again on Saturday and the under 2.5 goal market offers plenty of appeal as a result.
Unbeaten Udinese have conceded only twice in three Serie A fixtures so far and are similarly risk-averse, so margins are likely to be slim at the Bluenergy Stadium.
Udinese’s unblemished record could be under threat on Saturday, however. They’ve lost each of their last three meetings with Milan and failed to score in two encounters between the clubs last term. With Milan’s 1-0 win over Bologna last weekend providing the blueprint, the defensively robust visitors can prevail by a similar scoreline at Udinese.
